西南石油大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2010, Vol. 4 ›› Issue (4): 1-10.DOI: 10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2010.04.001

• 石油与天然气软科学 • 上一篇    下一篇

四川天然气消费需求预测与发展对策研究

胡国松1 温馨2 王怡娟1   

  1. 1.西南石油大学经济管理学院,四川 成都 610500; 2.四川大学经济学院,四川 成都 610064
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2010-07-20

PREDICTION OF CONSUMPTION DEMAND FOR NATURAL GAS AND DEVELOPMENT MEASURES

HU Guo-song1 WEN Xin2   

  1. 1.School of Economics and Management,Southwest Petroleum University,Chengdu Sichuan,610500,China;2.School of Economics,Sichuan University,Chengdu Sichuan,610064,China
  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2010-07-20

摘要: 四川拥有丰富的天然气资源,如何将资源优势转化为经济优势和发展优势,这是目前我们亟需解决的问题。基于天然气勘探开发、管网建设和终端市场利用现状,运用定量分析方法对四川天然气消费需求进行预测,并结合未来的天然气需求与产能建设对天然气供需发展趋势进行分析判断,进一步从天然气资源开发、资源利用、供需关系、宏观管理政策等层面分析了四川天然气开发利用的不合理因素,并从天然气安全供给机制、综合利用效率和政府宏观调控等角度提出了相关政策建议,对四川实现经济社会可持续发展具有重要的现实意义。

关键词: 四川, 天然气, 消费需求, 天然气开发, 供需关系

Abstract: Sichuan is rich in its natural gas resources and it is important to change the resources advantage into economic and development advantages.Taking the exploration and exploitation of natural gas,pipeline construction and terminal markets,this paper makes a prediction of consumption demand for natural gas by using quantitative research method.A further analysis of the trend of development of supply and demand based on the future demand and production capability is made then.After discussing the unfavorable factors in natural gas development the authors provide some policy related suggestions concerning safety in supply,efficiency of utilization and macroeconomic control.

Key words: Sichuan, natural gas, consumption demand, exploitation of natural gas, supply and demand

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