西南石油大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2013, Vol. 15 ›› Issue (3): 8-14.DOI: 10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2013.03.002

• 经济学与管理学 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国区域经济格局动态演变的空间分析

杨霞 徐邓耀   

  1. 西华师范大学国土资源学院 , 四川 南充 637002
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2013-05-01 发布日期:2013-05-01

A Spatial Analysis on Dynamic Evolution of Regional Economic Pattern in China

YANG Xia XU Deng-yao   

  1. Institute of Land and Resources,China West Normal University,Nanchong Sichuan,637000,China
  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2013-05-01 Published:2013-05-01

摘要: 区域经济发展不平衡是我国社会经济发展中面临的一个重要课题,也是国内外学者研究的热点问题。本文利用Moran’s I指数检验我国1953—2010年29个省(直辖市/自治区)的空间自相关性,探讨区域空间自相关性变化程度、区域经济格局的变化轨迹以及区域经济发展差异产生的政策原因。分析结果表明:区域空间自相关程度逐渐增强,空间因素对区域经济发展的影响日益明显;国家不同时期的经济政策战略是导致区域经济格局变化与经济发展差异的重要原因;在不同政策引导下,经济重心经历了由东北转向内陆再转向东部地区的过程,区域亦经历了由均质空间向异质空间的转化过程,整体上表现出强烈的“高—高”、“低—低”聚集趋势,市场分割现象突出。

关键词: 中国区域经济格局, 区域经济差异, 空间自相关性, 空间动态演变, Moran’s I指数

Abstract: Regional imbalance is one of the problems in China’s economic development,and also a focus of researches at home and abroad. This paper,by testing the spatial autocorrelation among 29 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities ) from 1953 to 2010 in China with the Moran’s I index,discusses the variation of spatial autocorrelation,development path of regional economic pattern and the policy factors which lead to the differences of regional economic development. The results show that the regional autocorrelation degree has increased gradually,and that the impact of spatial factor on regional economic development has become increasingly apparent. National economic policy in different periods is an important reason for the change of regional economic pattern and economic development differences. Due to different policies,economic center has moved from the northeast to inland and then to the eastern region,and spatial economic distribution has also undergone a transformation from homogeneous space to heterogeneous one. On the whole,there exhibits a strong polarized trend of “highhigh”,“lowlow” gathering with a striking market segmentation.

Key words: regional economic pattern in China, regional economic differences, spatial autocorrelation, spatial dynamic evolution, Moran’s I index

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