西南石油大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2010, Vol. 4 ›› Issue (8): 1-4.DOI: 10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2010.01.001

• 石油与天然气软科学 •    下一篇

中国成品油市场结构与生产者行为博弈分析

万玺1 汪涛2 李钦3   

  1. 1．重庆科技学院经济管理学院,重庆401331；2.解放军后勤工程学院油料应用与管理工程系，重庆401331；3．重庆科技学院人事处,重庆401331
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2010-01-20

ANALYSIS OF OIL PRODUCT MARKET STRUCTURE AND PRODUCER BEHAVIOR GAME

WAN Xi1 WANG Tao2 LI Qin3   

  1. 1.Economic and Management College，Chongqing University of Science and Technology，Chongqing 401331，China；2.Department of Oil Application & Management Engineering，the Logistical Engineering University of PLA，Chongqing 401331，China；3.Personnel Department，Chongqing University of Science and Technology，Chongqing 401331，China
  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2010-01-20

摘要：

对中国成品油市场进行具体分析，认为中国成品油市场是一个由中国石油和中国石化两大巨头主导的、多种投资主体参与的双寡头垄断有限竞争市场。对双寡头博弈行为进行分析，得出产量博弈的状况近期不会出现，价格博弈将使企业走入囚徒困境的结论。进一步对成品油其他生产者的行为进行分析，得出它们不具备产量与价格优势的结论，为消费者尤其是集团消费者相关决策提供参考。

关键词: 成品油市场, 市场结构, 双寡头, 博弈论, 石油企业

Abstract:

An analysis of China′s oil product market reveals that the oil product market is an imperfect competition market dominated by the twin oligarchies of CNPC and Sinopec with plural investment subjects.The authors believe that there won′t be any game in oil product yields and the price game between the twin oligarchies will drive them into prisoner′s dilemma.And a further study of other oil producers′ behavior shows that they do not have any advantages in yields and price.It is hoped these studies can offer some help in decision making process to oil product consumers.

Key words: oil product market, market structure, twin oligarchies, game theory, oil companies

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