大理大学学报 ›› 2025, Vol. 10 ›› Issue (9): 26-.

• 经济学-生态文明 • 上一篇    下一篇

云南省经济-生态系统耦合协调时空演变及障碍因子诊断

陈红霞   

  1. (昆明文理学院,昆明 650200)
  • 出版日期:2025-09-15 发布日期:2025-10-14
  • 作者简介:陈红霞,副教授,主要从事项目管理研究。
  • 基金资助:
    昆明文理学院教育教学改革研究项目(2023YLKCYB06)

Spatial-Temporal Evolution and Obstacle Factor Diagnosis of Coupling Coordination Between Economic and Ecological Systems in Yunnan Province

Chen Hongxia   

  1. (Kunming College of Arts and Sciences, Kunming 650200, China)
  • Online:2025-09-15 Published:2025-10-14

摘要:

经济与生态系统的耦合协调是实现区域可持续发展的必由之路。基于2016—2022年数据资料,构建云南省经济与生 态系统评价指标体系,运用综合指数法、耦合协调度模型、障碍度模型和空间可视化工具等分析两者的耦合协调演变特征和主 要障碍因子。结果表明:①经济系统综合指数虽波动变化,但总体呈上升态势,其标准差和变异系数均逐渐减小,各地发展渐 趋均衡;多数州市经济发展综合指数波动上升,少数州市(大理和德宏)轻度下降;昆明、玉溪、曲靖和德宏发展优势突出。②生 态系统综合指数总体呈轻度下降趋势,各地绝对差距和相对差距逐渐扩大,呈现出非均衡的发展特征;生态系统发展因时、因 地而异,研究期内各地“升降”态势并存;迪庆生态系统水平相对较高,而文山则相对较低。③经济与生态系统耦合协调指数虽 波动变化,但总体呈渐趋协调的发展态势,且现阶段协调发展水平不高,高质量的协调远未实现;多数州市协调发展水平波动 上升,少数州市轻度下降,其中增幅最高的为丽江,最低的为版纳,而降幅最高的为大理,最低的为昆明;各地协调发展的绝对 差距和相对差距均逐渐较小,总体呈渐趋均衡的发展态势;研究期昆明、德宏、玉溪、曲靖、红河和迪庆协调发展水平普遍较高。④经济规模、经济效益、生态响应和生态状态对云南省经济与生态系统耦合协调的阻碍作用较强,出现频率较高。

关键词: 经济系统, 生态系统, 耦合协调, 障碍因子, 云南省

Abstract: The coupling coordination between economic and ecological systems is essential for achieving regional sustainable development. Based on data from 2016 to 2022, this study constructs an evaluation index system for the economic and ecological systems in Yunnan Province. Using the comprehensive index method, coupling coordination degree model, obstacle degree model, and spatial visualization tools, we analyze the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of their coupling coordination and identify the main obstacle factors. The results show that: ① The comprehensive index of the economic system fluctuated but generally increased, with its standard deviation and coefficient of variation gradually decreasing, indicating an increasingly balanced development trend across regions. Most prefecture-level cities experienced a fluctuating increase in their economic development index, while a few (Dali and Dehong) saw a slight decline in their economic system index. Kunming, Yuxi, Qujing, and Dehong had prominent development advantages. ② The comprehensive index of the ecological system showed an overall slight downward trend, with the absolute and relative gaps among regions gradually widening, presenting non-equilibrium development characteristics. Ecological system development varied with time and location, with both "rising" and "falling" trends coexisting across regions during the study period. Diqing had a relatively high ecological system level, while Wenshan was relatively low. ③ The coupling coordination index between the economic and ecological systems fluctuated but generally showed a trend towards increasing coordination. However, the current level of coordinated development is not high, and high-quality coordination is still far from being achieved. Most cities saw a fluctuating increase in their coordinated development level, while a few cities saw a slight decline. Among them, Lijiang had the highest growth rate, Xishuangbanna the lowest; Dali had the largest decline, and Kunming the smallest. The absolute and relative gaps in coordinated development across regions gradually narrowed, showing an overall trend towards balanced development. During the study period, Kunming, Dehong, Yuxi, Qujing, Honghe, and Diqing generally maintained high levels of coordinated development. ④ Economic scale, economic efficiency, ecological response, and ecological status exerted strong hindering effects on the coupling coordination between Yunnan′s economic and ecological systems and appeared with high frequency.

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