桥头堡战略背景下“十二五”期间德宏工业化判断与预测
———兼论德宏新型工业发展

J4 ›› 2011, Vol. 10 ›› Issue (3): 26-30.

桥头堡战略背景下“十二五”期间德宏工业化判断与预测
———兼论德宏新型工业发展

德宏师范高等专科学校经济管理系

收稿日期:2010-11-30 修回日期:2010-12-23 出版日期:2011-03-01 发布日期:2011-03-01
作者简介:曹韩，助教，主要从事产业经济学研究.
基金资助:
云南省教育厅科研基金资助项目（2010C002）；德宏师范高等专科学校课题（DSK201002）.

On the New Type Industrial Development and Industrialization during the Dehong Twelfth Five-Year Plan
Period on the Background of Bridgehead Strategy

Department of Business and Management, Dehong Teachers College

Received:2010-11-30 Revised:2010-12-23 Online:2011-03-01 Published:2011-03-01

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

研究表明：制造业对GDP增长的贡献是不可估量的。我们以德宏人均GDP、产业结构、城市化率等近10年间时间序列数据为依据，研究德宏“十二五”期间工业化发展阶段。运用了钱纳里的工业化阶段理论、库兹涅茨的产值结构和就业结构理论、霍夫曼工业结构理论等对德宏的主要指标进行分析，预测“十二五”期间德宏的工业化阶段及其特征，最后提出走新型工业化的论断。

Abstract:

Manufacturing contributes greatly to the increasing of GDP. Putting per capita GDP, industrial structure and urbanization rate as the time-series data of the last decade, this paper analyzes the stages of Dehong industrial development during the Twelfth Five-Year Plan period from the Chenery stage theory of industrialization, the Kuznets's theory of output and employment structure, and Hoffman theory of industrial structure; then makes a forecast of the industrial stage and its characteristics during the Dehong Twelfth Five-Year Plan period, and proposes the road of new type industrialization in Dehong.

中图分类号:

F427

. 桥头堡战略背景下“十二五”期间德宏工业化判断与预测
———兼论德宏新型工业发展[J]. J4, 2011, 10(3): 26-30.