云南地方财政收入与经济增长的长期均衡分析

J4 ›› 2011, Vol. 10 ›› Issue (5): 24-27.

云南地方财政收入与经济增长的长期均衡分析

保山学院，云南保山 678000

收稿日期:2011-03-09 出版日期:2011-05-01 发布日期:2011-05-01
作者简介:刘卫华，讲师，主要从事区域经济研究．

Long-term Equilibrium Analysis of Local Financial Revenue and Economic Growth in Yunnan

Baoshan College，Baoshan，Yunnan 678000，China

Received:2011-03-09 Online:2011-05-01 Published:2011-05-01

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

地方财政收入与经济增长的长期均衡状况是近年来区域经济研究的热点问题。采用云南省1990年至2009年的数据，在
数据保持平稳性的前提下，对地方财政收入与经济增长进行协整分析。运用格兰杰(Granger)检验方法，得出二者之间存在单向的格兰杰因果关系：经济增长是云南地方财政收入的格兰杰原因，地方财政收入不是云南经济增长的格兰杰原因，并提出相关的政策建议。

关键词: 地方财政收入, 经济增长, 协整, Granger检验

Abstract:

The long—ternl equilibrium condition of local financial revenue and economic growth is heated in the recent researches of regional economy．Based on the data from 1990 to 2009 in Yunnan Province，the paper made a cointegration analysis of local financial revenue and economic growth under the premise of maintaining the stability of data．Granger test method was applied．And one—way Granger causality was found，that is，economic growth was the Granger cause of the local financial revenue in Yunnan，while local financial revenue was not the Granger cause of economic growth in Yunnan．Accordingly，the paper proposed some policy advices．

Key words: local financial revenue, economic growth, eo—integration, Granger test

中图分类号:

F812．7

刘卫华, 孙爱真. 云南地方财政收入与经济增长的长期均衡分析[J]. J4, 2011, 10(5): 24-27.

LIU Wei-Hua, SUN Ai-Zhen. Long-term Equilibrium Analysis of Local Financial Revenue and Economic Growth in Yunnan[J]. J4, 2011, 10(5): 24-27.

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