Journal of Dali University ›› 2024, Vol. 9 ›› Issue (8): 67-74.DOI: 10. 3969 / j. issn. 2096-2266. 2024. 08. 012

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Construction and Application Evaluation of Clinical Prediction Model for Type 2 Diabetes Patients#br# with Hyperuricemia

Zhou Ye1, Fan Guanjie2, Yang Bo1, Zhang Hengyan1, Yan Heguo1,3*   

  1. (1. Zhaotong Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Zhaotong, Yunnan 657000, China; 2. Guangdong Provincial Hospital of
    Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou 510120, China; 3. Yunnan University of Chinese Medicine, Kunming 650500, China)
  • Received:2023-06-27 Revised:2023-10-26 Online:2024-08-15 Published:2024-08-12

Abstract: Objective: To construct and evaluate a clinical prediction model for type 2 diabetes patients with hyperuricemia and
explore its independent risk factors. Methods: Retrospective analysis was conducted on the medical records of 553 type 2 diabetes
patients admitted to the department of endocrinology of Zhaotong Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine from January 2020 to
December 2021. The patients were divided into hyperuricemia group and non-hyperuricemia group according to whether hyperuricemia
was complicated or not. LASSO regression was used to select predictive variables and construct a Logistic regression model to identify
independent risk factors for type 2 diabetes patients with hyperuricemia. The model was visualized by drawing a nomogram, and the
predictive efficacy of the model was evaluated by the degree of differentiation, calibration and clinical applicability. Results: There
were statistically significant differences (P<0.05) between the two groups of patients in body mass index, concurrent diabetic
nephropathy, standardized hypoglycemic therapy, total cholesterol, triglycerides, serum creatinine, blood urea nitrogen, insulin
resistance index, dampness-heat obstructing the spleen syndrome, and qi-yin deficiency syndrome. Eight predictive variables were
selected by LASSO regression for multicollinearity diagnosis, and the prediction model was constructed after the qi-yin deficiency
syndrome was deleted and multi-factor Logistic regression was performed. The results showed that seven predictive variables were
independent risk factors for type 2 diabetes patients with hyperuricemia (P<0.05), and the model had good differentiation, calibration
and clinical applicability. Conclusion: Body mass index, concurrent diabetic nephropathy, standardized hypoglycemic therapy, total
cholesterol, triglycerides, insulin resistance index, and dampness-heat obstructing the spleen syndrome are independent risk factors for
type 2 diabetes patients with hyperuricemia. The clinical prediction model based on these factors can provide a reliable basis for the
clinical prevention and treatment of hyperuricemia in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Key words: type 2 diabetes, hyperuricemia, clinical prediction model, nomogram

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