西南石油大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2011, Vol. 4 ›› Issue (3): 18-21.DOI: 10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2011.03.004

• 石油与天然气软科学 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于生命周期的油田多重生产力分析与预测

郭小哲1 葛家理1 沈丽萍2   

  1. 1.中国石油大学(北京)石油工程学院,北京 昌平 102249; 2.黑龙江大庆油田第三采油厂地质大队,黑龙江 大庆 163113
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2011-05-20

ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF MULTIPLE PRODUCTIVE FORCE OF OIL FIELD BASED ON LIFE CYCLE RULE

GUO Xiao-zhe1 GE Jia-li1 SHEN Li-ping2   

  1. 1.College of Petroleum Engineering,China University of Petroleum,Beijing 102249,China;2.Geological Team of No.3 Oil Recovery Factory in Daqing Oilfield,Daging Heilongjiang 163113,China
  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2011-05-20

摘要:

针对传统以主体技术为依据对产量进行贡献分配的方式,提出油气地下资源与管理制度也同样是油田生产力的重要组成。从生命周期理论出发,研究了资源、科技、制度三重生产力的拟合与叠加理论方法,在对历史拟合的生产力构成基础上,提出了基于现状及基于情景两种预测方法。同时,创新性的定义了可充度,并设计三因素效用值方法用以评价不同情景预测产生的若干方案生产力的优劣程度。整套方法体系突出了油田生产力分析中资源、科技、制度的协调与互补,为油田可持续发展战略部署提供了新的思路和依据。

关键词: 生命周期, 多重生产力, 可充度, 预测, 评价

Abstract: The traditional means of distributing contribution of production by the technology has been changed,and the oil resources and management are equally important elements of oil field productivity as technology is.This paper makes researches into the methods to match and stack resources,technology and the management based on the life cycle rule.The forecast methods are given for the multiple productive forces.At last,the degree of feasibility and abundance is redefined and the threefactor integrated evaluation value is designed to evaluate different production plans.The proposed system stresses the coordination and complement among resource,technology and management so as to provide a new angle and basis for strategy plan in oil fields.

Key words: life cycle, multiple productive forces, degree of feasibility and abundance, forecast, evaluation

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