西南石油大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2010, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (2): 97-100.DOI: 10.3863/j.issn.1674-5086.2010.02.019

• 石油与天然气工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

一种稠油注蒸汽开发多指标预测方法

陈长春1 窦宏恩1 于 军2   

  1. 1.中国石油勘探开发研究院,北京 海淀 100083; 2.中国石油辽河油田勘探开发研究院,辽宁 盘锦 124010
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2010-04-20 发布日期:2010-04-20

A METHOD TO PREDICT THE PRODUCTION INDEX OF THERMAL RECOVERY

CHEN Chang-chun1 DOU Hong-en1 YU Jun2   

  1. 1.Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development,CNPC,Haidian Beijing 100083,China;2.Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development,Liaohe Oilfield Company,CNPC,Panjin Liaoning 124010,China
  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2010-04-20 Published:2010-04-20

摘要:

通过对注蒸汽开发稠油油藏的大量实际开发数据的研究,提出了注采特征的双对数模型,即累计产量的对数和累计注汽量对数的线性关系,以及累计产液量对数与累计注汽量对数的线性关系。与现有的两种注采特征曲线相比,这种双对数注采特征曲线模型的线性相关性较好,使用较方便,并引入了“S”型增长模型来预测累积注汽量与时间的关系。通过将累积注汽量预测值与双对数注采特征模型结合起来,提出了一种新的注蒸汽开发稠油油藏的产量预测方法。该方法可同时对注蒸汽热采稠油油田的累计注汽量、累计产量、累计产液量、年产量等多项开发指标进行预测,应用该方法预测了辽河油田两个蒸汽吞吐区块的生产动态指标,油田实际数据表明该方法为一种有效的开发动态预测方法。

关键词: 稠油, 蒸汽吞吐, 注采特征, 开发指标, 预测

Abstract:

Through studying the producing data of thermal recovery heavy oil reservoir by puff and huff,a new dual logarithm relationship of injection and production rate is presented in this paper,that is,between the logarithm of accumulation of oil/liquid production rate and the logarithm of accumulation of steam injection rate,there is good linear relationship.Compared with other two existing kinds of relationship,this model has higher goodness of fit and is easier to use.Moreover,in this paper,an S-shaped curve to predict the cumulative steam injection is used.By combining the S-shaped cumulative steam curve with the above mentioned injection production performance,a new method is put forward to forecast the producing performance,such as oil and water production,water cut and gas-oil ratio.By this method,some production parameters,such as annual oil/liquid production rate,two blocks in Liaohe Oilfield are forecasted.The result shows that the new method is applicable and accurate to forecast performance parameter of oilfield developed with puff and huff and other steam injection methods.

Key words: heavy oil, puff and huff, feature of injection and production, production index, prediction

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