西南石油大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2023, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (2): 1-10.DOI: 10.11885/j.issn.1674-5086.2023.01.12.02

• 双碳及能源战略 •    下一篇

碳中和目标下中国能源转型和能源安全的现状、挑战与对策

侯梅芳   

  1. 中国石油勘探开发研究院, 北京 海淀 100083
  • 收稿日期:2023-01-12 发布日期:2023-05-05
  • 通讯作者: 侯梅芳,E-mail:houmeifang@petrochina.com.cn
  • 作者简介:侯梅芳,1987年生,女,汉族,甘肃庆阳人,高级政工师,硕士,主要从事能源战略规划与政策方面的研究工作。E-mail:houmeifang@petrochina.com.cn

Current Situation, Challenges and Countermeasures of China's Energy Transformation and Energy Security Under the Goal of Carbon Neutrality

HOU Meifang   

  1. PetroChina Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration & Development, Haidian, Beijing 100083, China
  • Received:2023-01-12 Published:2023-05-05

摘要: 人类社会在完成两次重要的能源转型之后,当前正在进行以碳中和目标为导向、旨在实现人类社会可持续发展的第三次能源转型。新形势下中国能源发展面临复杂形势和严峻挑战,既要加快推进能源低碳转型实现碳中和目标,又要牢牢守住能源安全底线。如何统筹好能源转型和能源安全,是中国能源高质量可持续发展面临的重大问题。研究认为:1)前两次能源转型均契合传统的经济发展规律,与工业革命相伴而生,能源作为普通生产要素,其结构在技术驱动下逐渐发生变革,正在进行中的第三次能源转型,核心动因不仅包括应对气候变化和保障能源安全,还包括人类社会可持续发展的战略驱动,需要多端发力完成。2)碳中和目标下中国能源转型面临能源消费总量偏大、碳排放量偏大、能源结构偏煤、国内油气产量偏少、油气对外依存度偏高及可再生能源发展偏弱等安全风险。3)碳中和目标下中国能源转型与能源安全应着力“三个加快”:充分发挥中国社会主义制度优势,从化石能源清洁化、可再生能源规模化及综合能源智慧化3方面加快构建新型能源体系,在煤炭、油气和可再生能源等领域加快科技创新,加快实施全面能源节约战略。

关键词: 碳中和, 能源转型, 能源安全, 煤炭, 油气, 可再生能源, 科技创新, 新型能源体系, 能源独立

Abstract: Human society is now in its third stage of energy transformation, with the goal of carbon neutrality and sustainable development, after the first two major energy transformation periods. China's energy development is facing complex situation and severe challenges under the new situation. We must accelerate the low-carbon energy transformation to achieve carbon neutrality, and firmly safeguard the bottom line of energy security at the same time. It is a major issue for China's high-quality energy development to balance energy transformation and energy security. Studies indicate that: 1) the previous two energy transformations were both in line with the traditional law of economic development and accompanied by the industrial revolution. In these two transformations, energy acted as common productive factors, and the energy structure gradually changed under the drive of technology. However, the core reasons of the third energy transformation are to address climate change and guarantee energy security. The ongoing transformation is driven by the strategic measures of sustainable development besides technological development, and it requires multiple efforts. 2) there are lots of risks in China's energy transformation: the total energy consumption is too large, the carbon emission and proportion of coal in energy structure is too high, the domestic production of oil and gas is too low, the dependence ration of overseas oil and gas is too high, and the development of renewable energy is too weak. 3) under the goal of carbon neutrality, China's energy transformation and energy security should focus on "three acceleration": making full use of the advantages of socialist system, speeding up the construction of new energy system through the way of cleaning fossil energy, scaling up renewable energy and developing smart comprehensive energy, speeding up independent innovation of science and technology in the fields of coal, oil, gas and renewable energy, speeding up the implementation of energy conservation.

Key words: carbon neutral, energy transformation, energy security, coal, oil and gas, renewable energy, scientific and technological innovation, new energy system, energy independence

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