J4 ›› 2013, Vol. 12 ›› Issue (4): 6-8.

• 数学与计算机科学 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于贝叶斯公式的决策研究

  

  1. 临沧师范高等专科学校数理系,云南临沧 677000
  • 收稿日期:2012-11-30 修回日期:2012-12-28 出版日期:2013-04-15 发布日期:2013-04-15
  • 作者简介:张嵘,讲师,主要从事概率与统计、数学建模及数据挖掘研究.

Decision-Making Research Based on Bayesian Formula

  1. Lincang Teachers’College, Lincang, Yunnan 677000, China
  • Received:2012-11-30 Revised:2012-12-28 Online:2013-04-15 Published:2013-04-15

摘要:

贝叶斯公式可在客观调查的基础上修正先验概率,为决策者提供更为可靠的信息。列举了贝叶斯公式在经济决策中的
应用例子,同时也用贝叶斯公式对生活中信用及舆论方面的某些现象作了诠释。

关键词: 贝叶斯公式, 决策, 概率

Abstract:

Based on the objective investigation, we can modify the priori probability by using Bayesian formula, and provide more reliable information for decision makers. This article gives an example about the Bayesian formula application in economy decision-making, and also uses Bayesian formula to explain certain credit and public opinion phenomena in life.

Key words: Bayesian formula, decision, probability

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