J4 ›› 2013, Vol. 12 ›› Issue (8): 28-33.

• 经济社会发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

云南省各州市农村消费的区域实证分析

  

  1. 云南省农业科学院质量标准与检测技术研究所,昆明650203
  • 收稿日期:2013-01-14 修回日期:2013-04-06 出版日期:2013-08-15 发布日期:2013-08-15
  • 作者简介:李茂萱,经济师,主要从事农业经济与管理研究.

Regional and Empirical Analysis of the Rural Consumption in Various Regions in Yunnan Province

  1. Institute of Quality Standard and Testing Technology, Agriculture Academy of Yunnan Province, Kunming 650203, China
  • Received:2013-01-14 Revised:2013-04-06 Online:2013-08-15 Published:2013-08-15

摘要:

明确农村消费的地区及结构差异是制定刺激农村消费有关政策的实证基础。结合云南省地域特点,针对云南省各州市
农村居民消费进行区域分析和数学建模,运用K均值聚类分析、主成分分析及回归分析,以了解云南省各州市农村居民的消费
构成和习惯。结果表明,云南省2010年各州市农村居民消费构成差异较大,消费结构不合理;K均值聚类分析显示云南省各州市
农民消费情况可划分为三类,每类之间存在较大差异;AIC准则表明主成分回归模型比全模型更优,解释了变量90.6%的信息,
模型通过了显著性检验。主成分回归的结果显示农村居民消费与收入存在显著相关性。

关键词: 农村居民消费, 区域分析, 主成分分析, 回归分析

Abstract:

In 2010, the structure of rural consumption was largely different and unreasonable in various regions in Yunnan Province.
K-mean cluster analysis showed three types of rural consumption in Yunnan Province with obvious differences between each type.
AIC criterion showed that main composition regression model was better than that of the full model, which could explain 90.6% of the
variable information. And this model passed the significant test. The results of main composition regression showed a significant
correlation between rural resident's consumption and their income.

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