西南石油大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2002, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (5): 71- 73.DOI: 10.3863/j.issn.1000-2634.2002.05.022

• 石油机械工程及其它 • 上一篇    下一篇

石油项目投资风险多层因素模糊综合评价

余晓钟   

  1. 西南石油学院工商管理学院,四川南充637001
  • 收稿日期:2002-02-11 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2002-10-20 发布日期:2002-10-20
  • 通讯作者: 余晓钟

MANYOSIDED FACTORS OF FUZZY COMPREHENSIVE EVALUATION ON THE RISK OF THE PETROLEUM PROJECT INVESTMENT

YU Xiao-zhong   

  1. Southwest Petroleum Institute , Nanchong Sichuan 637001 , China
  • Received:2002-02-11 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2002-10-20 Published:2002-10-20
  • Contact: YU Xiao zhong

摘要: 石油建设项目的投资受到多层多种风险因素影响,它的外部风险因素包括资源风险、市场风险、金融风险、社会风险、自然风险、经济风险和政治风险。内部可控风险包括完工风险、管理风险、技术风险与人员风险。建立石油建设项目投资风险的综合评价指标体系及权重体系,运用多因素递阶模糊综合评价模型,对风险因素的影响程度及其大小进行量化分析与综合评价,并结合大型油气工程项目进行了实例运算,实现了对石油建设项目投资风险大小程度的科学评价与判断。
  

关键词: 石油项目, 投资风险, 综合评价

Abstract: The project investment of the petroleum construction is influenced by many risk factors including the external risks of resources , market , finance , society , nature , economy and policy , and the internal risks of completing a project , administration , technical and human : founding the system of comprehensive evaluation targets and weigh of the petroleum project investment , reasonably using the many factors model of the fuzzy
comprehensive evaluation , going on the quantity analysis and comprehensive evaluation about the risk factors , and calculating them which contract with largeOscale petroleum project realizes scientifically evaluation and decision of the risks of the petroleum project investment .

Key words: petroleum project, investment risk, comprehensive evaluation

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