西南石油大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2018, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (1): 12-18.DOI: 10.11885/j.issn.1674-5094.2017.10.06.01

• 能源发展研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

特朗普能源新政的影响及我国应对策略

张一清1,2, 姜鑫民3   

  1. 1. 山东能源经济协同创新中心, 山东 烟台 264005;
    2. 山东工商学院工商管理学院, 山东 烟台 264005;
    3. 国家发改委宏观经济研究院, 北京 西城区 100038
  • 收稿日期:2017-10-06 出版日期:2018-01-01 发布日期:2018-01-01
  • 通讯作者: 姜鑫民(1968-),男(汉族),山东烟台人,副研究员,博士,研究方向:能源经济、政策和战略发展规划.
  • 作者简介:张一清(1975-),男(汉族),山东潍坊人,讲师,博士,研究方向:能源产业经济与技术经济.
  • 基金资助:
    2014年山东能源经济协同创新中心重大资助项目“山东省能源活动温室气体排放清单研究”(2014SDXT001),山东能源经济协同创新中心(山东省2011计划)资助。

The Influence of Trump's New Energy Policy and China's Countermeasures

ZHANG Yiqing1,2, JANG Xinmin3   

  1. 1. Synergy Innovation Center for Energy Economics of Shandong, Yantai Shandong, 264005, China;
    2.School of Business Administration, Shandong Business and Technology University, Yantai Shandong, 264005, China;
    3. Macroeconomic Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, Xicheng District Beijing, 100038, China
  • Received:2017-10-06 Online:2018-01-01 Published:2018-01-01

摘要: 特朗普能源新政的主要内容包括解除对化石能源生产的限制、加大页岩油气生产供应、振兴煤炭工业、实现能源独立等措施。在此新政刺激下,预计3~5年内国际石油价格仍将在低位徘徊,全球煤炭价格将长期低迷,可再生能源将保持继续增长但速度将放缓。特朗普能源新政的实施有利于降低我国原油进口成本,加快我国煤炭行业去产能,将使中美两国在清洁煤技术领域有更多的合作空间;但是,特朗普取消《巴黎协定》将增大全球气候变化目标的实现难度,中美两国在应对气候变化与低碳经济中的合作将受到影响。针对特朗普新政,我国应进一步加大原油储备,加快煤炭行业去产能,积极推动“一带一路”能源合作,继续倡导《巴黎协定》。

关键词: 特朗普能源新政, 能源合作, 页岩气生产, 清洁煤技术, 《巴黎协定》

Abstract: Trump's new energy policy,which includes an increase in the supply and production of shale oil and gas and the revitalization of the coal industry,is an attempt to achieve energy independence by lifting restrictions on fossil energy production. Meanwhile,international oil prices are expected to remain low for three to five years,and global coal prices will remain reduced for the foreseeable future. The implementation of the new energy policy is beneficial to the realization of diversified oil and gas imports in China and will accelerate the reduction of excess capacity in China's coal industry. There will be more space for cooperation in the field of clean coal technology between China and the United States. At the same time, this policy will make it more difficult to overcome the global threat of climate change. Though cooperation between China and the United States with respect to advocating a low-carbon economy and combating climate change is adversely affected,it is difficult to reverse the trend of green,low-carbon development. Accordingly,China will further increase crude oil reserves, accelerate the reduction of excess capacity in the coal industry,and actively promote the“Belt and Road Initiatives”energy cooperation while continuing to advocate for the Paris Agreement.

Key words: Trump's new energy policy, energy cooperation, shale gas production, clean coal technology, Paris Agreement

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