西南石油大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2012, Vol. 14 ›› Issue (6): 24-26.DOI: 10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2012.06.005

• 经济学与管理学 • 上一篇    下一篇

民生银行A股与H股价格互动关系研究

安航毅1 陈曦2 郭晓军2 鄢小琳3   

  1. 1.香港浸会大学 中国香港九龙 九龙塘广播道宝能阁二期6-A室; 2.西南石油大学经济管理学院,四川 成都 610500; 3.中国石油集团长城钻探工程有限公司,北京 朝阳区 100101
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2012-11-01 发布日期:2012-11-01

A Study of Price Interaction Relations BetweenA Shares and H Shares of Minsheng Bank

AN Hang-yi1 CHEN Xi2 GUO Xiao-jun2 YAN Xiao-ling3   

  1. 1.Hong Kong Baptist University,Room 6-A,Boland Court PH 2,Broadcast Drive,Kowloon Tong,Kowloon Hong Kong,China2.School of Economics and Management,Southwest Petroleum University,Chengdu Sichuan 610500,China3.The Great Wall Drilling Company,CNPC,Chaoyang District Beijing 100101,China
  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2012-11-01 Published:2012-11-01

摘要: 利用Johansen协整检验模型和基于误差修正模型的因果关系检验方法,对民生银行自香港上市以来的A股与H股价格数据进行了实证分析。结果发现,随着两地资本市场的融合,在A股市场价值投资理念日益凸显的背景下,信息相对对称的民生银行两市价格存在着长期均衡关系,短期的价格背离将由其内在价值予以纠正。民生银行两市股价存在即时的相互引导关系,但滞后引导关系不显著。同时,其A股价格对H股价存在着单向的长期引导关系。

关键词: 民生银行, 民生银行A股, 民生银行H股, 协整检验, 误差修正模型

Abstract: This paper applies Johansen cointegration test and Causality test method based on error correction model to an empirical study on the trade data of Minsheng Bank (CMBC)’s A shares and H shares since it listed in Hong Kong. The study shows that,with the integration of capital markets in Hong Kong and mainland China,value investment concept is becoming increasingly prominent in A share market. The longterm stock prices of Minsheng Bank in both markets have stayed balanced due to its relatively balanced information release,and the shortterm price deviation will get corrected by its intrinsic value. CMBC’s A shares and H shares have instant mutual causal relation,but not significant lagged casual relationship. In the long term,there is a oneway causal relation between the A shares and H shares.

Key words: Minsheng Bank, A share, H share, cointegration test, error correction model

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