西南石油大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2009, Vol. 2 ›› Issue (4): 12-17.DOI: 10.3863/j.issn.1674-5086.2009.04.003

• 石油与天然气软科学 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国石油企业跨国并购风险评价

刘玉莲1,陆羽2   

  1. 1.中石化西北油田分公司,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830011;2.西南石油大学经济管理学院,四川 成都 610500
  • 收稿日期:2009-03-19 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2009-07-20 发布日期:2009-07-20

FUZZY AHP AND RISK ASSESSEMENT OF PETROLEUM ENTERPRISES′ CROSS BORDER MERGER AND ACQUISITION PROJECT IN CHINA

LIU Yu-lian1, LU Yu2   

  1. 1.Northwest company,Sinopec,Urumqi Xinjiang 830011,China;2.College of Economics and Management,Southwest Petroleum University,Chengdu Sichuan 610500,China
  • Received:2009-03-19 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2009-07-20 Published:2009-07-20

摘要: 针对中国石油企业跨国并购存在的风险问题,探讨了基于模糊数学原理的中国石油企业跨国并购模糊层次评判方法,分析了评判模型的构造体系、指数权重、排序及风险等级评价。讨论了中国石油企业在跨国并购中应特别注意加强对政治突发事件的应对能力,充分了解东道国的法律细节以降低法律风险,提高自身的战略决策能力。对国家能源战略与能源安全的实现具有一定参考价值。

关键词: 中国石油企业, 跨国并购, 风险, 模糊层次法, 规避措施

Abstract: Based on the potential risk of Petroleum enterprises′ crossborder merger and acquisition project in China,this paper discusses the principle of fuzzy mathematics applied in the assessment method and analyzes the structure system of evaluation model,the index weighting,risk rank,and the evaluation to risk grades.The result indicates that petroleum enterprise should particularly strengthen the capacity to deal with unexpected political events,and be fully aware of host country′s laws in order to reduce legal risks,hence develop greater capacity in making strategic decisions.This is of great significance in China′s energy security.

Key words: petroleum enterprise in China, cross border merger and acquisition, risk, fuzzy AHP, risk prevention measures

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