关键词: 新疆能源, 供给预测, 能源物流, 能源大通道

Abstract:

By estimating the total amount of energy supply in Xinjiang，we accounted demand for different types of energy
in ”standard coal” unit，and predicted the total amount of energy logistics in Xinjiang in the future. According to Xinjiang’s
economy，environment，management，and National energy strategy and so on，the author suggests that logistics channels in
Xinjiang should be developed according to priority sequences as follows: power grid，pipeline，railway and highway. Then，the
author calculated the cost of conversion and logistics of different types of energy with secondary curve fitting model and AHP，
and according to the lowest cost principle，we propose an optimized proportion of the four logistics channels in Xinjiang: power
grid 42%，pipeline 26%，railway 21.5%，and highway 10.5% . The optimized model of logistics development will contribute
to further development of energy logistics and the sustainable utilization of energy in Xinjiang.

Key words: energy in Xinjiang, supply forecast, energy logistics, grand channel of energy