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Table of Content
01 January 2012, Volume 14 Issue 1
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石油与天然气软科学
RESEARCH ON THE CONSTRUCTION OF PUBLIC SERVICE PLATFORM OF LOW CARBON TECHNOLOGY:PROBLEMS AND COUNTERMEASURES
LU Xiao-Cheng
2012, 14(1): 1-05. DOI:
10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2012.01.001
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The lowcarbon technology innovation is the key to the implementation of the scientific outlook on development,to the realization of energy conservation and emission reduction,and a low carbon economy development.To promote lowcarbon technology innovation,we need to build a perfect public service platform of the low carbon technology.In China,the construction of the public service platform of low carbon technology lags behind,which is mainly due to the following problems: inadequate investment,relatively weak resources conformity ability,imperfect technology system,and lack of low carbon professionals,etc.The construction of the public service platform of low carbon technology can be achieved by improving ideology and overall planning,increasing and diversifying investment,integrating resources,and by optimizing national and local lowcarbon innovation system,etc.
MODELING AND APPLICATION OF GM(1,1),GROWTH CURVE AND MARKOV COMBINATION TO NATURAL GAS CONSUMPTION FORECAST
GAO Jun SONG Shu-gui WU Peng XIONG Jing LI Quan-feng
2012, 14(1): 6-10. DOI:
10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2012.01.002
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Sichuan province is a major producer and consumer of natural gas in China,and an effective forecast of natural gas consumption serves as guidance to industry development and structure adjustment of energy consumption during the period of Sichuan′s 12th fiveyear plan,and plays a significant role in achieving the energy strategic goal of the 12th fiveyear plan.Based on standard deviation method,a forecast is made on natural gas consumption in Sichuan during 2011 and 2015 by greygrowth curve combination forecast method,followed by an adjustment on the forecast result using the Markov chain,thus improving precision.The result demonstrates that the natural gas consumption combination forecasting model has high precision and application value.
RESEARCH ON OIL AND GAS ENTERPRISE FINANCIAL EARLYWARNING MODEL BASED ON CONSTITUTE COMBINATION WEIGHT
ZHANG Li-jun ZHANG Chun-sheng TONG Sheng-li
2012, 14(1): 11-16. DOI:
10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2012.01.003
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Starting from the characteristics of oil and gas enterprises and financial risks against the background of the global financial crisis,we systematically study the financial earlywarning indices,which include financial and nonfinancial indices.After comparing several classic financial earlywarning models,and taking relative membership grade instead of absolute membership grade,we propose the comprehensive judgments model of oil and gas enterprises,the weights of which relate to the criteria determined by AHP combined with entropy weights.Finally,we take a gas field as an example and apply the constructed financial warning model to practice.The result shows the possibility of financial crisis is on the rise in general.This model is hoped to enhance the financial earlywarning capability of oil enterprises and therefore improve their fiancial mangement.
CHARACTERISTICS OF CARBON EMISSION AND THE WAYS OF DEVELOPING LOWCARBON ECONOMY IN THE WESTERN REGION
YANG Rong CHANG Xuan-yu
2012, 14(1): 17-22. DOI:
10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2012.01.004
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This paper analyzes carbon emission characteristics of western region in 19952009 and proposes some suggestions for western region to develop lowcarbon economy,taking into account the reality of lowcarbon economy development in the western region.The research shows that western region′s economic growth and carbon emission between 19952000 form an inverted Nshaped cubic,with industry taking the lead in western region′s industrial carbon emission.Inner Mongolia,with its fastest increase,takes the first place in regional carbon emission.Western region′s economic growth,energy consumption,and carbon emission show the same tendency of increase.Both western region′s predominance of resources and geographical conditions are necessary for developing lowcarbon economy.Finally,the authors suggest that western region develop lowcarbon economy by means of establishing a system of lowcarbon industry,of optimizing energy production and consumption,of taking technological innovation as the core,and of advocating lowcarbon consumption and so on.
政治学与法学
MECHANISM,PROCESS AND EFFECT OF USPAKISTAN COOPERATION IN COUNTERTERRORISM
AN Gao-le
2012, 14(1): 23-30. DOI:
10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2012.01.005
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America and Pakistan became allies according to their own strategic consideration,and Pakistan turned into America′s front line and nonNATO ally in America′s global war against terrorism.But Pakistan became America′s frontline country largely due to Pakistan′s special geopolitics.The USPakistan cooperation in counterterrorism is not as effective as the institution of USIndia and USEuropean Union,as there is not a longterm cooperation mechanism between the two countries.This paper analyzes the cooperation process and the effect within Bush administration,Obama administration and the postLaden Era,and makes some forecast for the future of the cooperation in antiterrorism as well.The author holds that America will pay high cost to maintain USPakistan cooperation in combating terrorism regardless of a lot of controversies between the two sides.
SEEKING ADVICE FROM NETIZENS ON MICROBLOGS:ANALYSIS OF THE NEW MODE OF INTERACT BETWEEN GOVERNMENT AND CITIZENS
ZHOU Bing YU Gu-min LI Yi
2012, 14(1): 37-40. DOI:
10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2012.01.007
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As a means of public opinion,the Internet brings government and the public closer and opens a new window of communication between them.Microblog provides an easy and populr access to public opinions.Against this background,more and more central and local party and government organs begin to seek advice from the Internet.Thereupon,the party and government institutions and officials open microblogs to seek advice from netizens on microblog,creating the new mode of interaction between government and citizens.At the primary stage,this new mode shows its significant advantages.It can bring government and the public closer,accelerate the release of information,ease the pressure of public opinion and enhance the sense of responsibility of government and officials.This new mode of interction has a great potential in public administration.Government needs to well orientate its role,improve communication skills and strengthen the scientific management and guidance of this new mode,if it wants to make good use of this mode.
A STUDY ON EUROPEAN AND AMERICAN NATIONAL RECOGNITION AFTER THE COLD WAR—FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF VALIDITY OF INTERNATIONAL MECHANISM
Li Jin
2012, 14(1): 41-48. DOI:
10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2012.01.008
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Western countries have always been a solid supporter for the theory of national recognition in the international law.A research points out that America and European countries have added to the content of those regulations of national recognition after the cold war with democracy and human rights.However,from the perspective of validity in mechanism the author analyzes the 38 political entities appearing after the cold war,and finds that those regulations are not effective because they are not the key factors in American and European decisions of whether to admit those political entities or not.These regulations didn′t change the behaviors of those political entities,either,not improving freedom in the political entities.On the contrary,the traditional national recognition standards are still necessary to gain the acknowledgement of America and European countries,such as the residents,definitive territory,government and sovereignty ,which is due to the special feature of national recognition mechanism.
社会学
A STUDY ON THE RELATIONSHIP OF THE NEW GENERATION MIGRANT WORKERS′ QUALITY AND THEIR POLITICAL PARTICIPATION
SHI Cheng-hu
2012, 14(1): 57-62. DOI:
10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2012.01.011
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The new generation migrant workers′ effective participation in politics is the necessary guarantee for them to adapt to city life.The fact that the new generation of migrant workers does not have high quality not only affects their willingness and ability of political participation,but also makes it difficultly for them to improve the quality and level of their political participation.In the light of the status quo of quality of the new generation migrant workers,the author analyzes how the personal quality of the new generation migrant workers affects their political participation,and reveals the mechanism of such influence.It is hoped that this paper may help remove the major obstacles to their political participation and therefore improve their quality and level of political participation.
A CASE STUDY OF INTERCULTURAL COMMUNICATION
LI Li
2012, 14(1): 68-72. DOI:
10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2012.01.013
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In intercultural communication practice,some hidden or inherent cultural factors will affect people′s perceptions and actions both consciously and unconsciously,which may cause barriers to people′s communication,conflicts and even other unexpected results.The analysis of the present paper is based on a case reported on the website of SOHU about the cultural conflicts between an old Chinese father and his daughter who has been living in Canada for many years.The intentions of the paper are to explore the relationship between culture and people′s perceptions and actions,and to state the importance of cultural factors which include the values,national characteristics and cultural patterns in intercultural communication.The author also proposes some advice about how to reduce conflicts and misunderstandings in intercultural communication.
农村基层党组织建设的历史回顾与经验启示
MA Ming-chong LI Ming-ming
2012, 14(1): 73-77. DOI:
10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2012.01.014
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Rural grassroot party organization is the foundation of the Chinese Communist Party,which always value the construction of rural grassroot organizations.The Chinese Communist Party′s victories in democratic revolution,socialist revolution and socialist construction period,or in the new era of reforming and opening are inseparable to the party′s construction of organization at rural level.In the historic stage of building new socialist countryside,a review of the CPC history of the construction of rural grassroot organizations is of great significance in strengthening the construction of rural grassroot party organizations in the new period,and in strengthening the Party′s ruling foundation in rural areas.
经济学与管理学
A STUDY OF THE EFFECTS OF LEADERMEMBER EXCHANGE ON NEW EMPLOYEES′ ORGANIZATIONAL SOCIALIZATION
CHEN Wei-zheng LI Qiang HU Dong-mei
2012, 14(1): 78-84. DOI:
10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2012.01.015
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Leadermember exchange(LMX) is the relation between leader and member.The article puts forward that social integration and role clarity in organizational socialization process are the mediation between leadermember exchange and job satisfaction and turnover intention.Results of the analyses suggest that LMX has a positive impact on social integration and role clarity.In addition,LMX has a positive impact on job satisfaction,and has a negative impact on turnover intention.Role clarity have positive impacts on job satisfaction,but negative impacts on turnover intention.The results also show that role clarity has a partial mediation role between LMX and job satisfaction while social integration does not obviously serve as a mediation between LMX and job satisfaction and turnover intention.
COMPETITIVENESS RESEARCH OF LISTED HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES COMPANIES IN CHINA
LI Zhi-guo ZHANG Hui YU Mei-ling
2012, 14(1): 90-95. DOI:
10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2012.01.017
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Due to 30 years of reform and opening up,China′s household appliances industry has greatly developed,and has become one of the few internationally competitive industries.Haier,Hisense and other major international brands have been created.Through mergers and acquisitions,household appliances industry has gradually gone into the stable phase,but the competition between enterprises has become more intense.Under the circumstance of the national policy of energy saving and environmental protection,they are faced with great difficulties in further development.This paper,using the method of empirical analysis,evaluates the operating results of listed household electric appliances companies,and ranks them in order.Then we make an analysis of the factors that affect the competitiveness of enterprises.We hope to provide investors with decisionmaking information,and to help the household appliance companies to improve their management.
史学哲学与文学
AN ADDENDUM TO CAI YUAPEI CORPUS
GAO Ming-yang LI Hong-liang
2012, 14(1): 96-99. DOI:
10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2012.01.018
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Cai Yuanpei′s articles composed in the Imperorial Assembly Examination in the Genyin year were not collected in the collechions of his articles.Cai′s articles in the examinations are,in the order of rounds of examinations,3 articles based on The Four Books and 1 poem in the first round,2 articles based on the Five Classics in the second round,and 2 policy comments in the third round.We take one of his first round articles for detailed analysis and find that this article is well organized with clear logic and precise arrangement,natural and smooth transition,and very elegant language.We believe those are the features in Cai′s examinations aticles.
高等教育管理
ANALYSIS OF PSYCHOLOGICAL HEALTH STATE OF FRESHMEN OF GRADE 2006 TO 2010 IN A UNIVERSITY IN SICHUAN
FANG Ke LIANG Li ZHOU Zhang-yi
2012, 14(1): 115-120. DOI:
10.3863/j.issn.1674-5094.2012.01.022
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The purpose of this paper is to study the variation tendency and existing problems of college beginners′ psychological health,and to provide instructions for school′s psychological health work.The survey and analysis were carried out among 24425 freshmen from grade 2006 to 2010.SCL90 was used in this survey to assess their psychological health state.The authors discover that freshman′s psychological health state vary with time and in a relatively wide range.The freshmen of grade 2008 scored the highest in dimensions of compulsion,interpersonal sensitivity,dysthymia,anxiety,hostility and phobia in SCL90.The psychological health state of freshmen varies with gender,major and background and presents manifold differences as time goes by.